{"id":42142,"date":"2019-03-31T11:30:12","date_gmt":"2019-03-31T11:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/?p=42142"},"modified":"2020-02-26T14:03:37","modified_gmt":"2020-02-26T14:03:37","slug":"best-analysis-ive-seen-for-the-current-state-of-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/31\/best-analysis-ive-seen-for-the-current-state-of-brexit\/","title":{"rendered":"Best analysis I&#8217;ve seen for the current state of Brexit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ah, Brexit. The national shitshow. The Guardian does a very good job of covering it in a fairly and factually (if slightly left-skewing) way.<\/p>\n<p>So, since last update, there have been the indicative votes. All 8 of them, none of which got enough traction.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190327-230754.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"42138\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/31\/best-analysis-ive-seen-for-the-current-state-of-brexit\/screenshot_20190327-230754\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190327-230754.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"982,7074\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Screenshot_20190327-230754.jpg\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190327-230754-83x600.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190327-230754-83x600.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"83\" height=\"600\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-42138\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Then there was MV3 &#8211; The Return of the Agreement. Which, as expected, didn&#8217;t fly. So What happens now? The Guardian provides a full list of options in this nice flowchart:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"42137\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/31\/best-analysis-ive-seen-for-the-current-state-of-brexit\/screenshot_20190329-220619\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"807,2633\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Screenshot_20190329-220619.jpg\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619-184x600.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619-184x600.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"184\" height=\"600\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-42137\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619-184x600.jpg 184w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619-123x400.jpg 123w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619-768x2506.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Screenshot_20190329-220619.jpg 807w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 184px) 100vw, 184px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, reading between the lines and extrapolating a bit, we get to the most accurate predictor I&#8217;ve seen so far:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"42139\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/31\/best-analysis-ive-seen-for-the-current-state-of-brexit\/fb_img_1553948329120\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"814,1200\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"FB_IMG_1553948329120.jpg\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120-407x600.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120-271x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"184\" height=\"271\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-42139\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120-271x400.jpg 271w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120-768x1132.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120-407x600.jpg 407w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/FB_IMG_1553948329120.jpg 814w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 184px) 100vw, 184px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In other words:<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"45045\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/31\/best-analysis-ive-seen-for-the-current-state-of-brexit\/wp-1582725755977\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1080,717\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"wp-1582725755977.jpg\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977-600x398.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977-400x266.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"266\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-45045\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977-400x266.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977-600x398.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977-768x510.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wp-1582725755977.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ah, Brexit. The national shitshow. The Guardian does a very good job of covering it in a fairly and factually (if slightly left-skewing) way. So, since last update, there have been the indicative votes. All 8 of them, none of which got enough traction. Then there was MV3 &#8211; The Return of the Agreement. Which,&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"more-link-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/31\/best-analysis-ive-seen-for-the-current-state-of-brexit\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &ldquo;Best analysis I&#8217;ve seen for the current state of Brexit&rdquo;<\/span> &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[523],"class_list":["post-42142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-brexit"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p3u9vK-aXI","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42142","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42142"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42142\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45046,"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42142\/revisions\/45046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.flubu.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}