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Notes from a bemused canuck

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Day: September 1, 2008

Forecast: stormy economic times ahead.

Posted on September 1, 2008 By admin

LONDON, England (AP) — The pound fell to an all-time low against the euro on Monday after Britain’s Treasury chief Alistair Darling said the country was facing the worst economic crisis in 60 years.
Alistair Darling says the UK is facing its worst economic crisis in 60 years.

Darling’s comments over the weekend were underscored by a raft of new economic data — covering everything from house prices and mortgage lending to manufacturing — indicating that Britain is on the brink of a recession.

In morning trading, the euro hit a record high against the pound of 81.40 pence. Around the same time, the pound fell to its lowest level in over two years against the dollar, to just over $1.80.

In data out Monday, a Hometrack Ltd. survey revealed that house prices dropped 5.3 percent in August to £167,000 ($305,000), a year-on-year fall that was the biggest since the research firm launched the index seven years ago.

“A recovery in the housing slump, even back to zero monthly growth, is still some way off,” said Richard Donnell, director of research at Hometrack. Economists at Global Insight are predicting further house price falls of 12 percent in 2009.

Also on Monday, the Bank of England reported that mortgage approvals for home purchases plummeted to a 33,000 in July — the lowest level since records began 15 years ago, and down 71 percent compared to July of last year.

A separate report from the chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply showed that the manufacturing sector shrank for the fourth consecutive month in August.

Manufacturing is at the front line of the country’s economic woes, as consumers cut spending because of the spiraling costs of food and fuel, falling house prices and fears of rising unemployment. “Ongoing weak manufacturing activity in August heightens belief that the British economy will contract in the third quarter and is well on its way into recession,” said Howard Archer, economist at Global Insight.

Darling told the Guardian newspaper on Saturday that the economic times Britain is facing “are arguably the worst they’ve been in 60 years,” adding that “it’s going to be more profound and long-lasting than people thought.”

The Office for National Statistics revealed last month that economic growth ground to a halt between April and June, ending almost 16 years of continuous expansion.

However, the Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates steady at 5 percent on Thursday, as policy-makers remain torn between delivering a rate cut to help dampen the recession threat or a rate rise to combat high inflation, which is already running at more than double the government’s 2 percent target.

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updated picture links

Posted on September 1, 2008September 1, 2008 By admin

I’ve updated some of my online picture galleries:

http://www.flubu.com/various_pics/irina/ : tons of new pictures of the kitties

http://www.flubu.com/various_pics/cambridge_kings_jun2008/ : pictures from inside Kings College Chapel in Cambs

http://www.flubu.com/various_pics/bobbles_canada_may2008/ : our last Canada trip pictures

http://www.flubu.com/various_pics/hupo_amsterdam_aug_2008/ : pictures from my trip to Amsterdam

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Do you think we have enough stuff?

Posted on September 1, 2008September 1, 2008 By admin

This past weekend was a busy one for Katy and I.

I’d taken Friday off so that we could be in Leicester early in the morning. Mel had rented a van so that we could go to Ikea and buy some nursery-related stuff and a new bed to keep in Leicester. The futon we were using in Leics is now too low to the ground and Katy can’t get in and out of it easily these days, so we decided to get a proper bed. The plan was to go to do a Leics – Ikea run to get the stuff, dump the bed out in Leicester, load the futon and some other things that needed selling, bring them down to Cambridge to dump them at our house, then drive back to Leicester and go build the bed. It was a looooooooong day :) I’d already sold the futon and Katy’s old television to people at work, so that’ll help cover some of the costs. We also got an insurance refund for the vet fees from last month, which will also help.

It’ll still be an expensive month though, cause we spent £400 at Ikea, and another £450 at Mothercare. This past weekend was when we really kitted out the nursery. We bought the crib that we’ll be using for the first few months in the bedroom, as well as a mattress, some sheets and two sleeping bags. We also bought a bottle kit with sterilizer, bottles, brushes, teats and a bottle warmer. That’s going to live in the kitchen. We bought some bath and bathroom stuff and some towels. We got a travel cot for when we come to see Katy’s folks. The only thing that we wanted to get but didn’t was the car seat. We’d originally wanted to get one that would be big enough to last for the first 4 years and, though the website said that it should have fit in the Corolla, it didn’t. The seatbelts were just a bit too short to secure it properly. This is a known thing with the car model because there are so many variants of it and they’re all just slightly different from one another. Blergh. We ended up just buying a 0-9month car seat that will double as a carrier. We can get the bigger one later. It should fit correctly when it’s forward-facing.

All in all though, I’m happy with our purchases. We’ve made judicious use of our coupons and we’re actually under budget for what we wanted to get. It really hits home though that we have absolutely no idea what we’re doing. We spent about 30 minutes in the bedding section looking things over and wondering what we should get, and how much of it. How many blankets does a baby need? I don’t know!!!!! (5 exclamation marks, a sure sign of a sick mind!)

Seriously, it’s starting to get a bit overwhelming. Katy stops work in just over 6 weeks and the Peanut is due in less than 3 months and we are so, so clueless as to what will happen and how we’ll do it. We keep saying to ourselves that as long as we’re together, everything is going to be ok. Usually, when one starts to freak out, the other steps in with the mantra. Hopefully, we never need to find out what happens when/if we both freak out together :)

I’m rather annoyed with Katy’s parents at the minute. It would seem that they think our house is a tip at the moment. Katy’s dad said that to her mom after dropping the stuff off on Friday. I resent him saying that. We aren’t in the position they are. He’s retired and spends an inordinate amount of time and energy keeping the house to a stupidly high level of cleanliness that I not only wouldn’t want to maintain but actually find oppressing at times. These are people who rinse out every pot, pan, plate and cutlery item before it goes in the dishwasher. We’ve actually seen them wipe down the inside of the dishwasher – BEFORE they put it on. So yes. I’ll grant that our house is cluttered, it needs a good vacuuming to get rid of the cat hair on the carpets and there are dishes in the sink. So what? There’s nothing suspicious growing in dark corners slowly evolving towards sentience. There’s dust, but there’s no dinge or dirt. It’s nothing that a good day’s cleaning won’t sort out. But you know what? Between the pregnancy and all the associated stress, all the stuff we need to do and our desire to spend time together, keeping house is relegated to the bottom of the todo list and I don’t want people nagging us and passing judgement about it.

On a brighter note, I got my picture taken for my new passport on Saturday and I’m happy to report that I actually look good on it! For once, if all goes well, I will have a photo ID where I don’t look like I’m a serial killer recently escaped from a mental institute!

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Poo, I say! Poo!

Posted on September 1, 2008 By admin

I got this in my email last weekend:

Zoom Airlines sincerely regrets to advise its customers that it has suspended operations with effect from 18:00 UTC on Thursday 28 August. All flights scheduled to depart from have been cancelled and Zoom’s aircraft have been grounded. Both Zoom Airlines Inc and Zoom Airlines Ltd, the Canadian and UK airlines, will be filing for insolvency proceedings in their home countries today.

The collapse of Zoom is a result of matter beyond our control. Only last year Zoom Airlines made profit, but that turned into a loss in the last year due to the unprecedented increase in the price of aviation fuel and the economic climate. The price of oil resulted in our fuel bill jumping by nearly $50 million in one year and we could not recover that from passengers who had already booked their flights.

That’s just pooey. I liked Zoom. For the price of a cattle-class seat on Air Canada, you could get a premium economy seat on Zoom that would give you 4 more inches of leg room. For me, that makes a hell of a difference, comfort-wise. I’ve never had a bad experience with Zoom (the most annoying thing was an hour-long delay on the last flight). I mean, come on, they even let Bobble fly a plane once!

It would seem that times are tough for everybody. On the day that Diddy wails that oil prices forced him to ground his private jet and resort to travelling with the unwashed masses in commercial flights (albeit in Executive First Class), a good company needs to close down and lay off all its staff.

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The truth may be out there, but lies are inside your head.
--(Terry Pratchett, Hogfather)

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